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Who will win the 2021-22 Bundesliga?

Who will win the 2021-22 Bundesliga?

In almost all areas, one associates the Germans with seriousness and discipline and, in fact, they are not very far from it. In football, historically, the Germans almost followed a stereotype of tall, strong and efficient players; they were not of a profile that was entertaining or showy, but they did know what his job was and they did it well. The Bundesliga was characterized by having players of that profile and the German clubs for playing practical and direct football, without much flair or visually appealing football, which detracted from some of its international appeal as well as not being very open to foreign players.

After the 2002 FIFA World Cup, the classic German model began to take a turn, seeking to develop a structure that would revalue both economically and sportingly all football in the country, encompassing the national teams and local leagues, mainly the Bundesliga. Taking what the Premier League did as a reference, the image of the tournament and the way of selling it to the rest of the world changed.

On the pitch, this translated into more young players coming from the youth teams of the clubs, more foreign players and a way of playing that has been polished little by little over time, which combines pressing, high pace and attacking teams that make it much more attractive and pleasant for the viewer.

In fact, the Bundesliga is the league of the main European ones with the best average goals per game (3.11 goals per game). It has also turned German managers into highly sought after professionals in the rest of the continent, where Jurgen Klopp, Thomas Tuchel, Julian Nagelsmann, Marco Rose or Ralph Hasenhuttl (Austrian but professionally trained in Germany) stand out.

All this has resulted in a tournament that has changed the perception of German football and has improved competitiveness between the clubs. However, as has been customary in history, Bayern Munich has maintained certain hegemony at the local level. The Bavarian club has won the last 9 editions of the Bundesliga, which marks the dominance they have in Germany and that it has only been remotely able to be faced by Borussia Dortmund that is why the analysis focuses on these two teams:

Bayern Munich

At the beginning of the season, the German giant hired the most promising manager in the country and, why not, in Europe: Julian Nagelmann. The young manager has been characterized during his career by forming very versatile teams that can change their tactical strategy several times during the game to adapt to the rival or to find their weak points.

Following the philosophy of the Bavarian club of signing the best players (and managers) in the Bundesliga, Bayern was reinforced with two well-known players from Nagelsmann’s past team and the best in the German championship: Dayot Upamecano and Marcel Sabitzer, both from RB Leipzig, one of the Munich club’s direct rivals. The French center back arrived to replace the significant losses of Jerome Boateng and David Alaba. For his part, the Austrian was a key player in Nagelsmann’s tactical changes at Leipzig and came to Bayern to ease the transition to the new manager’s idea.

Except for the losses in defense that we already mentioned, Bayern did not suffer other significant departures, so they have maintained the competitive squad of the last couple of years that has been the protagonist in Germany (as usual) and in Europe.

At a statistical level, Bayern dominates the championship as they are the highest scoring team, with 65 goals in 20 games which is equivalent to an average of 3.25 goals per game and the team that receives the fewest goals with 19 goals conceded in the same 20 games, that is, less than one goal per game. They also have the tournament’s top scorer, the polish Robert Lewandowski who has scored 23 goals in 20 games, 5 more than his competitor for the award, and has the top assist-maker, Thomas Muller, with 16 assists, which are 7 more than Florian Wirtz who is the second in that section.

In summary, Bayern Munich dominates practically every single element of the Bundesliga, so it is to be expected that they will be the winners of the tournament.

Borussia Dortmund

If we look at the table in the Bundesliga, only Borussia Dortmund can aspire to steal the lead from Bayern, although it would not be remotely an easy task. The yellow and black team is occupying the second position, 6 points behind the Bavarians with the same number of games, something that does not seem to be a very difficult mountain to climb. However, in reality, Bayern are usually very consistent in the league and they don’t give away leads like this one.

In any case, Borussia Dortmund has had a very good half of the season being the second highest scoring team (behind Bayern Munich) with 52 goals in 20 games, although in defense it has been more vulnerable since it is the eighth best defense of the championship. This makes sense when seeing the offensive vocation of the team that usually leaves space for its rivals in the counterattacks.

Additionally, the Dortmund club suffered the departure of Jadon Sancho, a key player in recent years and, although he was replaced with with Donyell Malen, the Dutchman has not lived up to the expectations, at least as of this writing. Of course, the club managed to keep one of the best players in world football, Erling Haaland, until the end of this season. The Norwegian has had very good performances so far, scoring 16 goals in 14 Bundesliga games and has formed a good partnership with Englishman Jude Bellingham.

History, statistics and the present make us understand that Bayern Munich is going to win the Bundesliga this season and will achieve its tenth title in a row. However, the option of Borussia Dortmund remains open because the team has the talent to achieve it, not in vain it has some of the best promises of European football in its squad. If they manage to overcome the lack of experience and hierarchy that clubs with young squads like Borussia tend to have, perhaps they have a real chance.

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