Football game has been around us since years, and as a result, a lot of data has been generated. The bettors while doing research do pay attention to data and analyze it to find a trend or pattern. They can follow these trends and patterns to deduce a probable outcome and capitalize on these. Thus, the trends and patterns help the bettors adopt a somewhat safer approach and make decisions that may provide them higher chance of winning. Let’s take a look at the common football betting trends and patterns in this article and understand how to use those for making profitable decisions.
There are mainly two types of trends in Football betting – situational trends and betting trends. Situational trends refer to the patterns one can see in the occurrence of a result under a given set of situations. The linking of performance with certain situations helps establish a relation which can be used to make a betting decision.
Betting trends are the trends that arise from the volume of money that is put on a bet with the bookies or the betting sites. These trends help to find on which situation the most of the bettors are placing money and where the smart money is going mostly.
Let’s take the situational trends first. Here are some of the common situational trends one can look for in the best football tipsters space.
- Performance against stronger or weaker team on a home ground
- Performance after big win matches
- Performance after a bye week
- Pattern in play after heavy loss matches
- Performance pattern in matches followed by long distance travels
How the situational trends are capitalized
The situational trends are easier to study. These give an idea about how the majority of bettors will react to the propositions developing in an ensuing match. Though these are not the factors to be considered SOLELY for making a decision, these do give a rough indication of what is likely to happen in an upcoming match.
The situational trends are used for making an assessment. If the other conditions, too, support the assessment, then these can be used for making a decision that will be considered rather safe or yielding decision.
However, one must understand that it is just a possibility. The situational trend has to be combined with other factors to understand how the bet is going to profit the speculator. You can now move to betting trend and understand how these trends impact the betting decision.
Betting trends – ways to capitalize
When the betting line opens, the money starts pouring in. The lines and spreads on the betting sides get affected by the amount of money received. Once the bettor gets the information about where the major public is staking money more, one can capitalize this information using the contrarian strategy.
The contrarian strategy means that the bettor chooses to bet upon the outcome which is against the public opinion. The rationale behind such move is that most of the public loses money on betting. So, if you are going against the public, you are backing the bookmaker’s opinion which certainly has a house advantage on its side. Thus, the bettor may think it to be safe to fade the public.
It works at a very few occasions these days though, as the bookmakers have more sophisticated solutions in hand for setting the lines and odds. Thus, the chance of finding the value in the bet has reduced remarkably.
Another way to capitalize the betting trends is to watch how odds or lines are moving. If the odds on the favorites come down with time, it indicates that the public is pumping a lot of money into the favorite’s side. Thus, the approach of betting on the underdog can be on the lines of contrarian strategy and may give positive results to the bettor.
Some important patterns to look for
Many times, the crucial tournaments and matches take a pattern in happening of events. These patterns help gauge the outcome of an ensuing match. Let’s take a look at some patterns.
First half scoring pattern
The strong team mostly tries to have a grip over the match from the very start. To further exert the pressure, the strong team scores goals in the first half. So, when you find that the team under consideration has mostly posted goals in the first half, you can use this information to guess the half-time correct score or half-time over/under bet.
Coaching pattern
A team does exceptionally well under certain coach. The winning spree of Manchester United under the guidance of Sir Alex Ferguson is a classic example of this pattern. So, when the coach and team starts to make a winning pattern, the bettors may pick their side based on this combination. This combination can be considered for betting on under/over goals bet.
Some coaches take pre-season time more seriously while others don’t. It reflects on the teams’ performance during these times. Thus, this coaching trend can also help in winning the bet on matches played while judging the time when the event is happening.
Home underdog winning trend
When a favorite team is playing, a number of factors pertaining to underdogs are overlooked. One of the most important consideration is underdog playing at the home ground. Since the bookies have skewed the odds in favor of favorite which is a visiting team, taking chance by going against the odd and backing the underdog team can be a wise move.
Trend of bouncing back
The team that has just lost a crucial match or have got defeat from the arch rival is quite pumped up to give its all in the next match. Thus, take a look at the last match facts. If it was a match lost and was an important meeting, the team is most likely to bounce back. So, take the call accordingly.
To sum up,
Trends emerge in Football due to availability of lot of data. You can find key points scored, home underdog win, number of matches ending in draw in a tournament, coach-winning team combination and several other trends that have a valid reason to back. Ensure that you pay attention to relevance of the reasons that form a trend; it can help you make the best move while betting. While selecting a tipster from footballtipster.net, you can take a look at the winning trend of the tipster, it can also help find the correct bet.